Cerebras Systems' S-1 filing on April 17 has propelled its implied probability to 96% on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the AI chipmaker's accelerated path to public markets amid booming demand for specialized AI hardware to power large language models. SpaceX follows closely at 95%, driven by confirmed late-2026 IPO plans tied to Starship milestones and a potential $1.5 trillion-plus valuation in the autonomous launch sector. Anthropic's 53% odds surged on reports of narrowing the revenue gap with OpenAI, enhancing its competitive positioning in AI safety and model deployment, while OpenAI lingers at 38% amid governance scrutiny and massive compute buildouts. Discord at 59% benefits from user growth signals, but broader market volatility tempers fintechs like Stripe (12%). Watch for Cerebras pricing, SpaceX roadshows, and AI lab earnings for sentiment shifts before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$5,789,502 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
95%
Cerebras
95%
Discord
59%
Anthropic
53%
WHOOP
51%
OpenAI
36%
Từ xa
35%
SHEIN
25%
Ledger
25%
Canva
22%
Databricks
22%
Applied Intuition
21%
Deel
21%
Epic Games
19%
Ramp
19%
Freddie Mac
17%
Waymo
14%
Anysphere (Cursor)
13%
Mistral AI
13%
Ripple Labs
13%
Rippling
13%
ByteDance
12%
Stripe
12%
Celonis
12%
Fannie Mae
11%
Vanta
11%
Glean
11%
Anduril Industries
9%
Anduril
9%
Revolut
9%
Brex
5%
$5,789,502 KL.
SpaceX
$508,335 KL.
95%
Cerebras
$292,365 KL.
95%
Discord
$440,366 KL.
59%
Anthropic
$184,004 KL.
53%
WHOOP
$50 KL.
51%
OpenAI
$214,754 KL.
36%
Từ xa
$52,640 KL.
35%
SHEIN
$77,147 KL.
25%
Ledger
$497,659 KL.
25%
Canva
$24,269 KL.
22%
Databricks
$462,168 KL.
22%
Applied Intuition
$190,083 KL.
21%
Deel
$120,279 KL.
21%
Epic Games
$70,829 KL.
19%
Ramp
$141,879 KL.
19%
Freddie Mac
$234,707 KL.
17%
Waymo
$44,921 KL.
14%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$91,783 KL.
13%
Mistral AI
$147,362 KL.
13%
Ripple Labs
$136,597 KL.
13%
Rippling
$109,211 KL.
13%
ByteDance
$8,829 KL.
12%
Stripe
$242,781 KL.
12%
Celonis
$198,890 KL.
12%
Fannie Mae
$159,303 KL.
11%
Vanta
$123,193 KL.
11%
Glean
$43,261 KL.
11%
Anduril Industries
$28,658 KL.
9%
Anduril
$347,338 KL.
9%
Revolut
$51,190 KL.
9%
Brex
$183,990 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras Systems' S-1 filing on April 17 has propelled its implied probability to 96% on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the AI chipmaker's accelerated path to public markets amid booming demand for specialized AI hardware to power large language models. SpaceX follows closely at 95%, driven by confirmed late-2026 IPO plans tied to Starship milestones and a potential $1.5 trillion-plus valuation in the autonomous launch sector. Anthropic's 53% odds surged on reports of narrowing the revenue gap with OpenAI, enhancing its competitive positioning in AI safety and model deployment, while OpenAI lingers at 38% amid governance scrutiny and massive compute buildouts. Discord at 59% benefits from user growth signals, but broader market volatility tempers fintechs like Stripe (12%). Watch for Cerebras pricing, SpaceX roadshows, and AI lab earnings for sentiment shifts before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,789,502Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Cerebras Systems' S-1 filing on April 17 has propelled its implied probability to 96% on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the AI chipmaker's accelerated path to public markets amid booming demand for specialized AI hardware to power large language models. SpaceX follows closely at 95%, driven by confirmed late-2026 IPO plans tied to Starship milestones and a potential $1.5 trillion-plus valuation in the autonomous launch sector. Anthropic's 53% odds surged on reports of narrowing the revenue gap with OpenAI, enhancing its competitive positioning in AI safety and model deployment, while OpenAI lingers at 38% amid governance scrutiny and massive compute buildouts. Discord at 59% benefits from user growth signals, but broader market volatility tempers fintechs like Stripe (12%). Watch for Cerebras pricing, SpaceX roadshows, and AI lab earnings for sentiment shifts before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$5,789,502Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cerebras Systems' S-1 filing on April 17 has propelled its implied probability to 96% on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on the AI chipmaker's accelerated path to public markets amid booming demand for specialized AI hardware to power large language models. SpaceX follows closely at 95%, driven by confirmed late-2026 IPO plans tied to Starship milestones and a potential $1.5 trillion-plus valuation in the autonomous launch sector. Anthropic's 53% odds surged on reports of narrowing the revenue gap with OpenAI, enhancing its competitive positioning in AI safety and model deployment, while OpenAI lingers at 38% amid governance scrutiny and massive compute buildouts. Discord at 59% benefits from user growth signals, but broader market volatility tempers fintechs like Stripe (12%). Watch for Cerebras pricing, SpaceX roadshows, and AI lab earnings for sentiment shifts before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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