OpenAI’s rapid revenue acceleration, with annualized run rates recently topping $40 billion amid strong enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and CEO comments dismissing sub-$1 trillion outcomes as nonstarters align with the leading 41.9% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Recent CFO statements confirming a 2027 public listing—or sooner on continued inflection—further support probabilities clustered in the 1T–1.5T range, while the 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing timing uncertainty tied to regulatory filings and profitability trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.5T+ 41.9%
1T–1.25T 20.0%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14.1%
$115,416 KL.
$115,416 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
20%
1.25T–1.5T
20%
1.5T+
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.5T+ 41.9%
1T–1.25T 20.0%
1.25T–1.5T 20%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 14.1%
$115,416 KL.
$115,416 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
<500B
$8,567 KL.
<1%
500–750B
$10,506 KL.
1%
750B–1T
$12,229 KL.
8%
1T–1.25T
$17,649 KL.
20%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,900 KL.
20%
1.5T+
$30,356 KL.
42%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$25,210 KL.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s rapid revenue acceleration, with annualized run rates recently topping $40 billion amid strong enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and CEO comments dismissing sub-$1 trillion outcomes as nonstarters align with the leading 41.9% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Recent CFO statements confirming a 2027 public listing—or sooner on continued inflection—further support probabilities clustered in the 1T–1.5T range, while the 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing timing uncertainty tied to regulatory filings and profitability trajectory.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$115,416Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s rapid revenue acceleration, with annualized run rates recently topping $40 billion amid strong enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and CEO comments dismissing sub-$1 trillion outcomes as nonstarters align with the leading 41.9% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Recent CFO statements confirming a 2027 public listing—or sooner on continued inflection—further support probabilities clustered in the 1T–1.5T range, while the 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing timing uncertainty tied to regulatory filings and profitability trajectory.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$115,416Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s rapid revenue acceleration, with annualized run rates recently topping $40 billion amid strong enterprise adoption exceeding 40% of sales, underpins trader consensus around elevated IPO valuations. The March 2026 private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation and CEO comments dismissing sub-$1 trillion outcomes as nonstarters align with the leading 41.9% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Recent CFO statements confirming a 2027 public listing—or sooner on continued inflection—further support probabilities clustered in the 1T–1.5T range, while the 14.1% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing timing uncertainty tied to regulatory filings and profitability trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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