Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, up from $47 billion in May, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $1.75–2.5 trillion range for its IPO closing market cap. The company’s May Series H round established a $965 billion private valuation, while ongoing preparations for a late-September S-1 filing and mid-October roadshow—potentially anchored by Nvidia—support trader expectations of a debut near or above $2 trillion. Enterprise adoption of Claude models and a projected $190–200 billion revenue trajectory by 2028 contribute to the current pricing, though execution risks, margin sustainability, and broader AI sector multiples introduce dispersion across the leading brackets. Key near-term catalysts include the public prospectus release and institutional investor feedback ahead of a targeted fall listing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2.25–$2.5T 24%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.1%
$1.75–$2.0T 21%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.6%
$723,796 KL.
$723,796 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
21%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
24%
$2.5–$2.75T
15%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$2.25–$2.5T 24%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.1%
$1.75–$2.0T 21%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.6%
$723,796 KL.
$723,796 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$85,701 KL.
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
$79,174 KL.
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
$100,658 KL.
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
$83,329 KL.
21%
$2.0–$2.25T
$98,739 KL.
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
$75,175 KL.
24%
$2.5–$2.75T
$64,178 KL.
15%
$2.75–$3.0T
$34,047 KL.
5%
$3.0T+
$56,521 KL.
4%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$46,271 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, up from $47 billion in May, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $1.75–2.5 trillion range for its IPO closing market cap. The company’s May Series H round established a $965 billion private valuation, while ongoing preparations for a late-September S-1 filing and mid-October roadshow—potentially anchored by Nvidia—support trader expectations of a debut near or above $2 trillion. Enterprise adoption of Claude models and a projected $190–200 billion revenue trajectory by 2028 contribute to the current pricing, though execution risks, margin sustainability, and broader AI sector multiples introduce dispersion across the leading brackets. Key near-term catalysts include the public prospectus release and institutional investor feedback ahead of a targeted fall listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$723,796Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, up from $47 billion in May, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $1.75–2.5 trillion range for its IPO closing market cap. The company’s May Series H round established a $965 billion private valuation, while ongoing preparations for a late-September S-1 filing and mid-October roadshow—potentially anchored by Nvidia—support trader expectations of a debut near or above $2 trillion. Enterprise adoption of Claude models and a projected $190–200 billion revenue trajectory by 2028 contribute to the current pricing, though execution risks, margin sustainability, and broader AI sector multiples introduce dispersion across the leading brackets. Key near-term catalysts include the public prospectus release and institutional investor feedback ahead of a targeted fall listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$723,796Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid revenue expansion to a $65 billion annualized run rate by July 2026, up from $47 billion in May, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $1.75–2.5 trillion range for its IPO closing market cap. The company’s May Series H round established a $965 billion private valuation, while ongoing preparations for a late-September S-1 filing and mid-October roadshow—potentially anchored by Nvidia—support trader expectations of a debut near or above $2 trillion. Enterprise adoption of Claude models and a projected $190–200 billion revenue trajectory by 2028 contribute to the current pricing, though execution risks, margin sustainability, and broader AI sector multiples introduce dispersion across the leading brackets. Key near-term catalysts include the public prospectus release and institutional investor feedback ahead of a targeted fall listing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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