Traders view the race for the number two free spot in the US Apple App Store on September 18 as highly contested, with Vinted at 28.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Google Gemini at 27% and Muse at 24.5%. The clustered probabilities around 20-50% for several apps highlight daily ranking volatility tied to user downloads, engagement metrics, and promotional activity in the competitive mobile ecosystem. AI-focused entries like Gemini and ChatGPT compete against established platforms and marketplaces through model updates and feature rollouts, while social and utility apps such as TikTok variants or Google Maps vie for visibility via algorithm changes and regional trends. Resolution tomorrow limits major catalysts, though last-minute marketing or viral spikes could shift outcomes in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVinted 41%
Google Gemini 27%
Muse 25%
ChatGPT 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
Vinted
29%
Google Gemini
27%
Muse
25%
ChatGPT
21%
Polymarket
5%
TikTok Pro - Events
5%
Google Maps
3%
Vinted 41%
Google Gemini 27%
Muse 25%
ChatGPT 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
Vinted
$5 KL.
29%
Google Gemini
$50 KL.
27%
Muse
$150 KL.
25%
ChatGPT
$0 KL.
21%
Polymarket
$0 KL.
5%
TikTok Pro - Events
$105 KL.
5%
Google Maps
$148 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders view the race for the number two free spot in the US Apple App Store on September 18 as highly contested, with Vinted at 28.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Google Gemini at 27% and Muse at 24.5%. The clustered probabilities around 20-50% for several apps highlight daily ranking volatility tied to user downloads, engagement metrics, and promotional activity in the competitive mobile ecosystem. AI-focused entries like Gemini and ChatGPT compete against established platforms and marketplaces through model updates and feature rollouts, while social and utility apps such as TikTok variants or Google Maps vie for visibility via algorithm changes and regional trends. Resolution tomorrow limits major catalysts, though last-minute marketing or viral spikes could shift outcomes in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$458Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders view the race for the number two free spot in the US Apple App Store on September 18 as highly contested, with Vinted at 28.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Google Gemini at 27% and Muse at 24.5%. The clustered probabilities around 20-50% for several apps highlight daily ranking volatility tied to user downloads, engagement metrics, and promotional activity in the competitive mobile ecosystem. AI-focused entries like Gemini and ChatGPT compete against established platforms and marketplaces through model updates and feature rollouts, while social and utility apps such as TikTok variants or Google Maps vie for visibility via algorithm changes and regional trends. Resolution tomorrow limits major catalysts, though last-minute marketing or viral spikes could shift outcomes in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Khối lượng
$458Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the race for the number two free spot in the US Apple App Store on September 18 as highly contested, with Vinted at 28.5% implied probability narrowly ahead of Google Gemini at 27% and Muse at 24.5%. The clustered probabilities around 20-50% for several apps highlight daily ranking volatility tied to user downloads, engagement metrics, and promotional activity in the competitive mobile ecosystem. AI-focused entries like Gemini and ChatGPT compete against established platforms and marketplaces through model updates and feature rollouts, while social and utility apps such as TikTok variants or Google Maps vie for visibility via algorithm changes and regional trends. Resolution tomorrow limits major catalysts, though last-minute marketing or viral spikes could shift outcomes in this skin-in-the-game consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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