Google's repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements, then July—have left the model in extended partner testing with no firm public timeline, while lighter 3.x Flash variants and Gemini 3.7 updates continue shipping. As of mid-August 2026, the current live Pro tier remains 3.1 Pro from February, and internal focus has shifted toward Gemini 4 training, reducing near-term expectations for a full Pro release. This history of slippage, combined with typical frontier-model validation cycles and competitive benchmarking needs, underpins trader consensus around no September launch, even as smaller updates could still emerge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo release by September 30 54%
September 23 6%
September 2 5%
September 20 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
On or prior to September 1
3%
September 2
5%
September 3
5%
September 4
5%
September 5
5%
September 6
5%
September 7
5%
September 8
4%
September 9
4%
September 10
4%
September 11
5%
September 12
5%
September 13
4%
September 14
5%
September 15
5%
September 16
4%
September 17
3%
September 18
5%
September 19
3%
September 20
5%
September 21
5%
September 22
5%
September 23
6%
September 24
5%
September 25
5%
September 26
4%
September 27
5%
September 28
5%
September 29
3%
September 30
3%
No release by September 30
54%
No release by September 30 54%
September 23 6%
September 2 5%
September 20 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
On or prior to September 1
$93 KL.
3%
September 2
$68 KL.
5%
September 3
$58 KL.
5%
September 4
$58 KL.
5%
September 5
$58 KL.
5%
September 6
$58 KL.
5%
September 7
$58 KL.
5%
September 8
$58 KL.
4%
September 9
$58 KL.
4%
September 10
$58 KL.
4%
September 11
$58 KL.
5%
September 12
$58 KL.
5%
September 13
$58 KL.
4%
September 14
$58 KL.
5%
September 15
$58 KL.
5%
September 16
$58 KL.
4%
September 17
$58 KL.
3%
September 18
$61 KL.
5%
September 19
$58 KL.
3%
September 20
$58 KL.
5%
September 21
$58 KL.
5%
September 22
$58 KL.
5%
September 23
$58 KL.
6%
September 24
$58 KL.
5%
September 25
$58 KL.
5%
September 26
$58 KL.
4%
September 27
$58 KL.
5%
September 28
$58 KL.
5%
September 29
$58 KL.
3%
September 30
$58 KL.
3%
No release by September 30
$299 KL.
54%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements, then July—have left the model in extended partner testing with no firm public timeline, while lighter 3.x Flash variants and Gemini 3.7 updates continue shipping. As of mid-August 2026, the current live Pro tier remains 3.1 Pro from February, and internal focus has shifted toward Gemini 4 training, reducing near-term expectations for a full Pro release. This history of slippage, combined with typical frontier-model validation cycles and competitive benchmarking needs, underpins trader consensus around no September launch, even as smaller updates could still emerge.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,092Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements, then July—have left the model in extended partner testing with no firm public timeline, while lighter 3.x Flash variants and Gemini 3.7 updates continue shipping. As of mid-August 2026, the current live Pro tier remains 3.1 Pro from February, and internal focus has shifted toward Gemini 4 training, reducing near-term expectations for a full Pro release. This history of slippage, combined with typical frontier-model validation cycles and competitive benchmarking needs, underpins trader consensus around no September launch, even as smaller updates could still emerge.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$2,092Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements, then July—have left the model in extended partner testing with no firm public timeline, while lighter 3.x Flash variants and Gemini 3.7 updates continue shipping. As of mid-August 2026, the current live Pro tier remains 3.1 Pro from February, and internal focus has shifted toward Gemini 4 training, reducing near-term expectations for a full Pro release. This history of slippage, combined with typical frontier-model validation cycles and competitive benchmarking needs, underpins trader consensus around no September launch, even as smaller updates could still emerge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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