DeepSeek’s V4 family, launched in preview on April 24, 2026, features the efficient 284B-parameter (13B active) V4-Flash MoE model alongside a larger Pro variant. The key recent catalyst is the July 31 official GA release of V4-Flash-0731, which shifted from preview to production API and open weights on Hugging Face after targeted post-training gains in coding, reasoning, and agent benchmarks—now rivaling or exceeding V4-Pro previews at roughly one-third the inference cost. V4-Pro itself reached general availability around August 12–13. Trader focus on the next Flash release reflects DeepSeek’s pattern of frequent updates, strong open-source positioning, and price competition versus Western labs, though no confirmed V5 timeline or Flash successor has emerged as of mid-August 2026. Key watchpoints include future API changelog entries and benchmark releases that could signal development velocity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember 30
34%
November 30
63%
$61 KL.
September 30
34%
November 30
63%
A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...DeepSeek’s V4 family, launched in preview on April 24, 2026, features the efficient 284B-parameter (13B active) V4-Flash MoE model alongside a larger Pro variant. The key recent catalyst is the July 31 official GA release of V4-Flash-0731, which shifted from preview to production API and open weights on Hugging Face after targeted post-training gains in coding, reasoning, and agent benchmarks—now rivaling or exceeding V4-Pro previews at roughly one-third the inference cost. V4-Pro itself reached general availability around August 12–13. Trader focus on the next Flash release reflects DeepSeek’s pattern of frequent updates, strong open-source positioning, and price competition versus Western labs, though no confirmed V5 timeline or Flash successor has emerged as of mid-August 2026. Key watchpoints include future API changelog entries and benchmark releases that could signal development velocity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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