Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrior to August 31 23%
August 31–September 6 23%
No release by November 1 23%
September 28–October 4 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
23%
August 31–September 6
23%
September 7–September 13
21%
September 14–September 20
13%
September 21–September 27
21%
September 28–October 4
22%
October 5–October 11
22%
October 12–October 18
22%
October 19–October 25
21%
October 26–November 1
22%
No release by November 1
23%
Prior to August 31 23%
August 31–September 6 23%
No release by November 1 23%
September 28–October 4 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
$6 KL.
23%
August 31–September 6
$6 KL.
23%
September 7–September 13
$27 KL.
21%
September 14–September 20
$6 KL.
13%
September 21–September 27
$6 KL.
21%
September 28–October 4
$6 KL.
22%
October 5–October 11
$6 KL.
22%
October 12–October 18
$6 KL.
22%
October 19–October 25
$6 KL.
21%
October 26–November 1
$6 KL.
22%
No release by November 1
$61 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$142Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$142Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro preview and model lifecycle timelines, including 2.5 series retirements slated for October 2026 with 3.5 replacements, underpin the fragmented trader consensus across September–October windows. With no official announcement for the next flagship Pro iteration, implied probabilities remain closely bunched (14–22%) due to historical annual cadence, post-Google I/O 2026 momentum, and competitive pressure from rival labs. Key factors include ongoing multimodal enhancements, Vertex AI integration, and benchmark readiness, creating uncertainty around exact timing amid typical product slippage risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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