Meta's Watermelon model, the successor to the Muse Spark family internally codenamed Avocado, remains in training as of early September 2026 with no confirmed public release date. Alexandr Wang, Meta's Chief AI Officer, stated in a July town hall that the frontier-scale model had matched OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on key benchmarks while consuming roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, part of Meta's multibillion-dollar infrastructure push. Internal documents reported in late August targeted an October rollout, and Wang reiterated on September 3 that the project stays "on track" and "very competitive" following the Muse Spark 1.3 update. Traders are watching for any official announcement, developer API access, or capability benchmarks that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
19%
October 31
75%
November 30
82%
$20 KL.
September 30
$0 KL.
19%
October 31
$0 KL.
75%
November 30
$20 KL.
82%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's Watermelon model, the successor to the Muse Spark family internally codenamed Avocado, remains in training as of early September 2026 with no confirmed public release date. Alexandr Wang, Meta's Chief AI Officer, stated in a July town hall that the frontier-scale model had matched OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on key benchmarks while consuming roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, part of Meta's multibillion-dollar infrastructure push. Internal documents reported in late August targeted an October rollout, and Wang reiterated on September 3 that the project stays "on track" and "very competitive" following the Muse Spark 1.3 update. Traders are watching for any official announcement, developer API access, or capability benchmarks that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Nov 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's Watermelon model, the successor to the Muse Spark family internally codenamed Avocado, remains in training as of early September 2026 with no confirmed public release date. Alexandr Wang, Meta's Chief AI Officer, stated in a July town hall that the frontier-scale model had matched OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on key benchmarks while consuming roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, part of Meta's multibillion-dollar infrastructure push. Internal documents reported in late August targeted an October rollout, and Wang reiterated on September 3 that the project stays "on track" and "very competitive" following the Muse Spark 1.3 update. Traders are watching for any official announcement, developer API access, or capability benchmarks that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Nov 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Meta's Watermelon model, the successor to the Muse Spark family internally codenamed Avocado, remains in training as of early September 2026 with no confirmed public release date. Alexandr Wang, Meta's Chief AI Officer, stated in a July town hall that the frontier-scale model had matched OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on key benchmarks while consuming roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor, part of Meta's multibillion-dollar infrastructure push. Internal documents reported in late August targeted an October rollout, and Wang reiterated on September 3 that the project stays "on track" and "very competitive" following the Muse Spark 1.3 update. Traders are watching for any official announcement, developer API access, or capability benchmarks that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing competition from OpenAI and Anthropic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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