Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember 18 44%
September 27 44%
September 10 43%
September 23 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
On or prior to September 9
42%
September 10
43%
September 11
42%
September 12
42%
September 13
40%
September 14
39%
September 15
43%
September 16
43%
September 17
42%
September 18
44%
September 19
39%
September 20
42%
September 21
42%
September 22
39%
September 23
43%
September 24
39%
September 25
42%
September 26
38%
September 27
44%
September 28
39%
September 29
40%
September 30
41%
No release by September 30
38%
September 18 44%
September 27 44%
September 10 43%
September 23 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 9, 2026
On or prior to September 9
$0 KL.
42%
September 10
$0 KL.
43%
September 11
$0 KL.
42%
September 12
$317 KL.
42%
September 13
$55 KL.
40%
September 14
$0 KL.
39%
September 15
$0 KL.
43%
September 16
$0 KL.
43%
September 17
$0 KL.
42%
September 18
$0 KL.
44%
September 19
$0 KL.
39%
September 20
$0 KL.
42%
September 21
$0 KL.
42%
September 22
$0 KL.
39%
September 23
$0 KL.
43%
September 24
$0 KL.
39%
September 25
$0 KL.
42%
September 26
$0 KL.
38%
September 27
$0 KL.
44%
September 28
$0 KL.
39%
September 29
$0 KL.
40%
September 30
$0 KL.
41%
No release by September 30
$0 KL.
38%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$372Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.7+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.7 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or grok-4.6-high would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.7 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.7, such as Grok 4.6 (released August 12, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$372Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s September 2 announcement that Grok 4.7 “comes out in 10 days” anchors current trader sentiment around mid-September targets, following the rapid August 12 launch of the 1.5-trillion-parameter Grok 4.6. The 2.1-trillion-parameter successor incorporates supplemental SpaceX engineering data for claimed advantages in real-world technical reasoning, positioning xAI’s aggressive monthly cadence against OpenAI and Anthropic releases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly across September 10–23 dates because historical timelines have shifted and full confirmation—API availability, benchmarks, and official documentation—remains pending, leaving room for last-minute adjustments amid intensifying frontier-model competition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp