OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development and strengthened safeguards against misuse, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent release. The company stated it plans to make the multi-agent large language model available “soon,” with advanced exploit capabilities initially restricted to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program rather than full public access. This official signal of readiness, paired with completed evaluations showing 100% ExploitBench performance and zero-day discovery, positions September 3 as the leading outcome while leaving room for minor delays around system-card finalization or access-tier rollout. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified developments over earlier safety pauses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI's Astra released on...?
OpenAI's Astra released on...?
September 3 78.1%
On or prior to September 2 6.2%
No release by September 30 5%
September 24 4.5%
MỚI
$35,306 KL.
MỚI
$35,306 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
6%
September 3
78%
September 4
6%
September 5
1%
September 6
1%
September 7
2%
September 8
3%
September 9
2%
September 10
2%
September 11
1%
September 12
1%
September 13
1%
September 14
1%
September 15
2%
September 16
1%
September 17
2%
September 18
1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
2%
September 22
1%
September 23
1%
September 24
4%
September 25
1%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
1%
September 29
1%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
5%
September 3 78.1%
On or prior to September 2 6.2%
No release by September 30 5%
September 24 4.5%
MỚI
$35,306 KL.
MỚI
$35,306 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
$2,201 KL.
6%
September 3
$5,672 KL.
78%
September 4
$2,141 KL.
6%
September 5
$1,243 KL.
1%
September 6
$892 KL.
1%
September 7
$961 KL.
2%
September 8
$653 KL.
3%
September 9
$758 KL.
2%
September 10
$959 KL.
2%
September 11
$733 KL.
1%
September 12
$733 KL.
1%
September 13
$834 KL.
1%
September 14
$766 KL.
1%
September 15
$1,185 KL.
2%
September 16
$855 KL.
1%
September 17
$855 KL.
2%
September 18
$755 KL.
1%
September 19
$755 KL.
1%
September 20
$855 KL.
1%
September 21
$1,015 KL.
2%
September 22
$755 KL.
1%
September 23
$802 KL.
1%
September 24
$1,780 KL.
4%
September 25
$1,015 KL.
1%
September 26
$712 KL.
1%
September 27
$1,433 KL.
1%
September 28
$1,121 KL.
1%
September 29
$755 KL.
1%
September 30
$765 KL.
1%
No release by September 30
$1,349 KL.
5%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development and strengthened safeguards against misuse, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent release. The company stated it plans to make the multi-agent large language model available “soon,” with advanced exploit capabilities initially restricted to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program rather than full public access. This official signal of readiness, paired with completed evaluations showing 100% ExploitBench performance and zero-day discovery, positions September 3 as the leading outcome while leaving room for minor delays around system-card finalization or access-tier rollout. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified developments over earlier safety pauses.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,306Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development and strengthened safeguards against misuse, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent release. The company stated it plans to make the multi-agent large language model available “soon,” with advanced exploit capabilities initially restricted to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program rather than full public access. This official signal of readiness, paired with completed evaluations showing 100% ExploitBench performance and zero-day discovery, positions September 3 as the leading outcome while leaving room for minor delays around system-card finalization or access-tier rollout. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified developments over earlier safety pauses.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$35,306Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra meets its Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development and strengthened safeguards against misuse, has driven trader consensus toward an imminent release. The company stated it plans to make the multi-agent large language model available “soon,” with advanced exploit capabilities initially restricted to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program rather than full public access. This official signal of readiness, paired with completed evaluations showing 100% ExploitBench performance and zero-day discovery, positions September 3 as the leading outcome while leaving room for minor delays around system-card finalization or access-tier rollout. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these verified developments over earlier safety pauses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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