Anthropic’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing with the SEC, clearing the path for a potential late-2026 IPO at roughly $965 billion valuation, drives the tight market-implied odds across exchanges. Traders see NASDAQ edging ahead at 47 percent because most large AI and technology companies historically list there for superior visibility among growth investors and high trading liquidity, while “Other” at 46 percent reflects uncertainty over direct listing options or delayed decisions. NYSE trails at 37 percent due to its stronger association with mature blue-chip firms, though its regulatory prestige could appeal if Anthropic emphasizes institutional credibility. No exchange has been confirmed, leaving outcomes sensitive to upcoming roadshow feedback and final underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOther 47%
NASDAQ 46%
NYSE 37%
NASDAQ
46%
NYSE
37%
Other
47%
Other 47%
NASDAQ 46%
NYSE 37%
NASDAQ
46%
NYSE
37%
Other
47%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing with the SEC, clearing the path for a potential late-2026 IPO at roughly $965 billion valuation, drives the tight market-implied odds across exchanges. Traders see NASDAQ edging ahead at 47 percent because most large AI and technology companies historically list there for superior visibility among growth investors and high trading liquidity, while “Other” at 46 percent reflects uncertainty over direct listing options or delayed decisions. NYSE trails at 37 percent due to its stronger association with mature blue-chip firms, though its regulatory prestige could appeal if Anthropic emphasizes institutional credibility. No exchange has been confirmed, leaving outcomes sensitive to upcoming roadshow feedback and final underwriter guidance from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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