Anthropic's rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Claude Opus 5 launching in late July 2026 shortly after Opus 4.8 in May, drives trader expectations for the next flagship release around late September. The company has delivered meaningful gains in coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning with each update, often alongside features like adjustable reasoning effort and expanded context windows. Competitive pressure from models such as OpenAI's GPT series and internal advancements in related lines like Fable and Mythos further accelerate development timelines. No official announcement has confirmed a date, but historical patterns and ongoing enterprise feature rollouts suggest potential catalysts in the coming weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$104,235 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
75%
October 31
99%
December 31
98%
$104,235 KL.
September 30
$44,308 KL.
75%
October 31
$13,267 KL.
99%
December 31
$5,146 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Claude Opus 5 launching in late July 2026 shortly after Opus 4.8 in May, drives trader expectations for the next flagship release around late September. The company has delivered meaningful gains in coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning with each update, often alongside features like adjustable reasoning effort and expanded context windows. Competitive pressure from models such as OpenAI's GPT series and internal advancements in related lines like Fable and Mythos further accelerate development timelines. No official announcement has confirmed a date, but historical patterns and ongoing enterprise feature rollouts suggest potential catalysts in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$104,235Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Claude Opus 5 launching in late July 2026 shortly after Opus 4.8 in May, drives trader expectations for the next flagship release around late September. The company has delivered meaningful gains in coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning with each update, often alongside features like adjustable reasoning effort and expanded context windows. Competitive pressure from models such as OpenAI's GPT series and internal advancements in related lines like Fable and Mythos further accelerate development timelines. No official announcement has confirmed a date, but historical patterns and ongoing enterprise feature rollouts suggest potential catalysts in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$104,235Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's rapid Opus iteration cycle, with Claude Opus 5 launching in late July 2026 shortly after Opus 4.8 in May, drives trader expectations for the next flagship release around late September. The company has delivered meaningful gains in coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning with each update, often alongside features like adjustable reasoning effort and expanded context windows. Competitive pressure from models such as OpenAI's GPT series and internal advancements in related lines like Fable and Mythos further accelerate development timelines. No official announcement has confirmed a date, but historical patterns and ongoing enterprise feature rollouts suggest potential catalysts in the coming weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp