Anthropic’s release cadence for its Haiku line drives current Polymarket odds, with the last model (Claude Haiku 4.5) launched in October 2025 while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Traders see limited near-term signals for a Haiku refresh, as the company has historically spaced small-model updates further apart to emphasize speed, cost efficiency, and high-volume workloads rather than frontier capabilities. Recent product focus on agentic features and enterprise integrations in larger models reinforces this gap. Key swing factors include any surprise October announcements tied to developer events or competitive pressure from rival small models, though no official timeline exists and timelines have slipped before. Market-implied odds cluster around late October or year-end resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Oct 15, 2026
October 15
38%
October 31
54%
December 31
48%
$9,632 KL.
October 15
$241 KL.
38%
October 31
$1,020 KL.
54%
December 31
$4,619 KL.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release cadence for its Haiku line drives current Polymarket odds, with the last model (Claude Haiku 4.5) launched in October 2025 while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Traders see limited near-term signals for a Haiku refresh, as the company has historically spaced small-model updates further apart to emphasize speed, cost efficiency, and high-volume workloads rather than frontier capabilities. Recent product focus on agentic features and enterprise integrations in larger models reinforces this gap. Key swing factors include any surprise October announcements tied to developer events or competitive pressure from rival small models, though no official timeline exists and timelines have slipped before. Market-implied odds cluster around late October or year-end resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,632Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release cadence for its Haiku line drives current Polymarket odds, with the last model (Claude Haiku 4.5) launched in October 2025 while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Traders see limited near-term signals for a Haiku refresh, as the company has historically spaced small-model updates further apart to emphasize speed, cost efficiency, and high-volume workloads rather than frontier capabilities. Recent product focus on agentic features and enterprise integrations in larger models reinforces this gap. Key swing factors include any surprise October announcements tied to developer events or competitive pressure from rival small models, though no official timeline exists and timelines have slipped before. Market-implied odds cluster around late October or year-end resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$9,632Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s release cadence for its Haiku line drives current Polymarket odds, with the last model (Claude Haiku 4.5) launched in October 2025 while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1 arrived in mid-2026. Traders see limited near-term signals for a Haiku refresh, as the company has historically spaced small-model updates further apart to emphasize speed, cost efficiency, and high-volume workloads rather than frontier capabilities. Recent product focus on agentic features and enterprise integrations in larger models reinforces this gap. Key swing factors include any surprise October announcements tied to developer events or competitive pressure from rival small models, though no official timeline exists and timelines have slipped before. Market-implied odds cluster around late October or year-end resolution dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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