Sam Altman’s repeated public endorsements of “pacing the frontier” ideas—most recently agreeing with Dario Amodei’s September 2026 essay on embedded evaluators—have not extended to personally signing the July 2026 employee statement hosted at pacingthefrontier.com. That petition, verified only for current frontier-lab staff and already backed by over 1,300 signatories including OpenAI researchers and executives, remains unsigned by the CEO despite two months of visibility. Traders view his history of declining similar pause or slowdown letters, combined with the absence of any recent commitment or deadline pressure before September 30, as decisive. While an unforeseen safety incident or regulatory push could still prompt a last-minute signature, the market-implied odds reflect the low likelihood of such a shift in the remaining weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
5% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s repeated public endorsements of “pacing the frontier” ideas—most recently agreeing with Dario Amodei’s September 2026 essay on embedded evaluators—have not extended to personally signing the July 2026 employee statement hosted at pacingthefrontier.com. That petition, verified only for current frontier-lab staff and already backed by over 1,300 signatories including OpenAI researchers and executives, remains unsigned by the CEO despite two months of visibility. Traders view his history of declining similar pause or slowdown letters, combined with the absence of any recent commitment or deadline pressure before September 30, as decisive. While an unforeseen safety incident or regulatory push could still prompt a last-minute signature, the market-implied odds reflect the low likelihood of such a shift in the remaining weeks.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,148Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman’s repeated public endorsements of “pacing the frontier” ideas—most recently agreeing with Dario Amodei’s September 2026 essay on embedded evaluators—have not extended to personally signing the July 2026 employee statement hosted at pacingthefrontier.com. That petition, verified only for current frontier-lab staff and already backed by over 1,300 signatories including OpenAI researchers and executives, remains unsigned by the CEO despite two months of visibility. Traders view his history of declining similar pause or slowdown letters, combined with the absence of any recent commitment or deadline pressure before September 30, as decisive. While an unforeseen safety incident or regulatory push could still prompt a last-minute signature, the market-implied odds reflect the low likelihood of such a shift in the remaining weeks.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$6,148Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Sam Altman’s repeated public endorsements of “pacing the frontier” ideas—most recently agreeing with Dario Amodei’s September 2026 essay on embedded evaluators—have not extended to personally signing the July 2026 employee statement hosted at pacingthefrontier.com. That petition, verified only for current frontier-lab staff and already backed by over 1,300 signatories including OpenAI researchers and executives, remains unsigned by the CEO despite two months of visibility. Traders view his history of declining similar pause or slowdown letters, combined with the absence of any recent commitment or deadline pressure before September 30, as decisive. While an unforeseen safety incident or regulatory push could still prompt a last-minute signature, the market-implied odds reflect the low likelihood of such a shift in the remaining weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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