Google's accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just weeks after 3.6, has fueled trader focus on an early September debut for the 3.8+ version amid internal previews of "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" on the Jetski platform. Reports from late August confirm employee testing of the model, which targets gains in coding, agentic workflows, and token efficiency through algorithmic refinements rather than full retraining, aligning with CEO emphasis on near-monthly updates to counter OpenAI and Anthropic. The closely matched probabilities across early dates reflect uncertainty over public API availability timelines, as Google prioritizes cost-competitive workhorse models while its flagship Pro remains delayed. Upcoming catalysts include any broader AI Studio or Vertex AI rollout announcements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSeptember 4 25%
September 2 24%
On or prior to September 1 22%
September 3 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
On or prior to September 1
22%
September 2
24%
September 3
22%
September 4
25%
September 5
9%
September 6
5%
September 7
10%
September 8
9%
September 9
9%
September 10
8%
September 11
11%
September 12
5%
September 13
5%
September 14
7%
September 15
10%
No release by September 15
11%
September 4 25%
September 2 24%
On or prior to September 1 22%
September 3 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
On or prior to September 1
$147 KL.
22%
September 2
$39 KL.
24%
September 3
$87 KL.
22%
September 4
$51 KL.
25%
September 5
$457 KL.
9%
September 6
$457 KL.
5%
September 7
$39 KL.
10%
September 8
$51 KL.
9%
September 9
$51 KL.
9%
September 10
$39 KL.
8%
September 11
$50 KL.
11%
September 12
$47 KL.
5%
September 13
$117 KL.
5%
September 14
$39 KL.
7%
September 15
$47 KL.
10%
No release by September 15
$119 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just weeks after 3.6, has fueled trader focus on an early September debut for the 3.8+ version amid internal previews of "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" on the Jetski platform. Reports from late August confirm employee testing of the model, which targets gains in coding, agentic workflows, and token efficiency through algorithmic refinements rather than full retraining, aligning with CEO emphasis on near-monthly updates to counter OpenAI and Anthropic. The closely matched probabilities across early dates reflect uncertainty over public API availability timelines, as Google prioritizes cost-competitive workhorse models while its flagship Pro remains delayed. Upcoming catalysts include any broader AI Studio or Vertex AI rollout announcements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,837Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just weeks after 3.6, has fueled trader focus on an early September debut for the 3.8+ version amid internal previews of "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" on the Jetski platform. Reports from late August confirm employee testing of the model, which targets gains in coding, agentic workflows, and token efficiency through algorithmic refinements rather than full retraining, aligning with CEO emphasis on near-monthly updates to counter OpenAI and Anthropic. The closely matched probabilities across early dates reflect uncertainty over public API availability timelines, as Google prioritizes cost-competitive workhorse models while its flagship Pro remains delayed. Upcoming catalysts include any broader AI Studio or Vertex AI rollout announcements.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,837Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Google's accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash launching August 13 just weeks after 3.6, has fueled trader focus on an early September debut for the 3.8+ version amid internal previews of "Gemini 3.8 Flash Preview" on the Jetski platform. Reports from late August confirm employee testing of the model, which targets gains in coding, agentic workflows, and token efficiency through algorithmic refinements rather than full retraining, aligning with CEO emphasis on near-monthly updates to counter OpenAI and Anthropic. The closely matched probabilities across early dates reflect uncertainty over public API availability timelines, as Google prioritizes cost-competitive workhorse models while its flagship Pro remains delayed. Upcoming catalysts include any broader AI Studio or Vertex AI rollout announcements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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