Skip to main content

Để giao dịch tại Mỹ, hãy truy cập polymarket.us

icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Công Nghệ·Anthropic

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Công Nghệ·Anthropic

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Ended: Sep 30

Ended: Sep 30

$1,610,904 KL.

Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,610,904 KL.

Polymarket

July 31

$42,074 KL.

No

August 31

$380,204 KL.

No

September 1

$430,301 KL.

Yes

September 2

$124,191 KL.

Yes

September 4

$84,396 KL.

Yes

September 3

$28,737 KL.

Yes

September 7

$34,516 KL.

Yes

September 9

$119,643 KL.

Yes

September 15

$96,677 KL.

Yes

September 30

$221,404 KL.

Yes

October 31

$48,762 KL.

Yes

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s September 1 announcement of Claude Mythos 5.1, an incremental update to the Mythos-class large language model with targeted gains in cybersecurity and biology benchmarks, is the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the next release. This follows the June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 (restricted via Project Glasswing) and the more widely available Fable 5 variant, which established the current capability baseline after earlier preview access. Regulatory approvals that restored limited U.S. partner access in July, combined with Anthropic’s roughly 12-week frontier cadence and ongoing emphasis on safety guardrails, underpin strong implied probability for near-term resolution. Key swing factors include potential expansions of trusted-access programs, any redefinition of “general public” availability, or competitive pressure from other labs’ model updates.

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,610,904
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Người giải quyết

0x65070BE91...

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s September 1 announcement of Claude Mythos 5.1, an incremental update to the Mythos-class large language model with targeted gains in cybersecurity and biology benchmarks, is the dominant factor shaping trader consensus on the next release. This follows the June 2026 launch of Claude Mythos 5 (restricted via Project Glasswing) and the more widely available Fable 5 variant, which established the current capability baseline after earlier preview access. Regulatory approvals that restored limited U.S. partner access in July, combined with Anthropic’s roughly 12-week frontier cadence and ongoing emphasis on safety guardrails, underpin strong implied probability for near-term resolution. Key swing factors include potential expansions of trusted-access programs, any redefinition of “general public” availability, or competitive pressure from other labs’ model updates.

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,610,904
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Người giải quyết

0x65070BE91...

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Liên quan

icon for Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

89%
icon for Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?

Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?

87%
icon for Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?

99%

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 11 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "September 1" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "September 2" ở mức 100%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" đã tạo $1.6 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 10, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?," duyệt 11 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" là "September 1" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "September 2" ở mức 100%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.