Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain updates affirm that Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's elevated 85% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Despite earlier Nikkei Asia notes on engineering hurdles and potential production slippage that could push shipments into late 2026 or 2027, analysts such as Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman have reiterated the device's progress toward a book-style form factor with minimized crease and iPad-like multitasking features. Traders are weighting these confirmed development milestones and Apple's historical fall-launch cadence more heavily than residual manufacturing risks, as the window to 2027 still allows for minor delays. The next key catalysts include any pre-launch supply-chain leaks or Apple's typical September keynote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$170,804 KL.
$170,804 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$170,804 KL.
$170,804 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain updates affirm that Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's elevated 85% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Despite earlier Nikkei Asia notes on engineering hurdles and potential production slippage that could push shipments into late 2026 or 2027, analysts such as Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman have reiterated the device's progress toward a book-style form factor with minimized crease and iPad-like multitasking features. Traders are weighting these confirmed development milestones and Apple's historical fall-launch cadence more heavily than residual manufacturing risks, as the window to 2027 still allows for minor delays. The next key catalysts include any pre-launch supply-chain leaks or Apple's typical September keynote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$170,804Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain updates affirm that Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's elevated 85% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Despite earlier Nikkei Asia notes on engineering hurdles and potential production slippage that could push shipments into late 2026 or 2027, analysts such as Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman have reiterated the device's progress toward a book-style form factor with minimized crease and iPad-like multitasking features. Traders are weighting these confirmed development milestones and Apple's historical fall-launch cadence more heavily than residual manufacturing risks, as the window to 2027 still allows for minor delays. The next key catalysts include any pre-launch supply-chain leaks or Apple's typical September keynote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$170,804Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain updates affirm that Apple's first foldable iPhone remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, driving the market's elevated 85% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Despite earlier Nikkei Asia notes on engineering hurdles and potential production slippage that could push shipments into late 2026 or 2027, analysts such as Ming-Chi Kuo and Mark Gurman have reiterated the device's progress toward a book-style form factor with minimized crease and iPad-like multitasking features. Traders are weighting these confirmed development milestones and Apple's historical fall-launch cadence more heavily than residual manufacturing risks, as the window to 2027 still allows for minor delays. The next key catalysts include any pre-launch supply-chain leaks or Apple's typical September keynote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp