OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing targeting late-2026 or early-2027, anchors current trader sentiment near the $1.0–1.5 trillion range. Sustained revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise APIs, and Microsoft partnerships supports upside, yet projected 2026 losses near $14 billion and questions over long-term margins and competitive intensity keep the two leading bins closely matched at 32.5% and 25.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on how these fundamentals and any further private-to-public re-rating will resolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.0T–$1.25T 33%
$1.25T–$1.5T 25.4%
$1.5T–$1.75T 12.7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$13,223 KL.
$13,223 KL.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
33%
$1.25T–$1.5T
25%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 33%
$1.25T–$1.5T 25.4%
$1.5T–$1.75T 12.7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$13,223 KL.
$13,223 KL.
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
$1,841 KL.
10%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$1,833 KL.
33%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$2,059 KL.
25%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$849 KL.
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$2,562 KL.
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,123 KL.
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$860 KL.
6%
$2.5T+
$2,097 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing targeting late-2026 or early-2027, anchors current trader sentiment near the $1.0–1.5 trillion range. Sustained revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise APIs, and Microsoft partnerships supports upside, yet projected 2026 losses near $14 billion and questions over long-term margins and competitive intensity keep the two leading bins closely matched at 32.5% and 25.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on how these fundamentals and any further private-to-public re-rating will resolve.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,223Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing targeting late-2026 or early-2027, anchors current trader sentiment near the $1.0–1.5 trillion range. Sustained revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise APIs, and Microsoft partnerships supports upside, yet projected 2026 losses near $14 billion and questions over long-term margins and competitive intensity keep the two leading bins closely matched at 32.5% and 25.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on how these fundamentals and any further private-to-public re-rating will resolve.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$13,223Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s March 2026 close of a record $122 billion round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by its June confidential IPO filing targeting late-2026 or early-2027, anchors current trader sentiment near the $1.0–1.5 trillion range. Sustained revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise APIs, and Microsoft partnerships supports upside, yet projected 2026 losses near $14 billion and questions over long-term margins and competitive intensity keep the two leading bins closely matched at 32.5% and 25.4%. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on how these fundamentals and any further private-to-public re-rating will resolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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