OpenAI’s August 2026 valuation has settled in the $900 billion to $1 trillion range according to overwhelming trader consensus, anchored by the March primary round that closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion from major backers including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. That price was reaffirmed in mid-August through a $7 billion employee tender offer that held the mark flat rather than stepping it up, while annualized revenue run rate surpassed $40 billion on ChatGPT subscriptions and API demand. IPO preparations, including a confidential June filing and Sam Altman’s stated preference for a $1 trillion-plus debut, have reinforced expectations of further upside before any 2027 listing. Potential delays in the public offering or slower-than-projected enterprise adoption remain the main variables that could still shift the final resolved bucket.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$900B-$1.00T 100.0%
<$600B <1%
$600-$700B <1%
$700-$800B <1%
$20,957 KL.
$20,957 KL.
<$600B
No
$600-$700B
No
$700-$800B
No
$800-$900B
No
$900B-$1.00T
Yes
$1.00-$1.10T
No
$1.10-$1.20T
No
$1.20-$1.30T
No
$1.30T+
No
$900B-$1.00T 100.0%
<$600B <1%
$600-$700B <1%
$700-$800B <1%
$20,957 KL.
$20,957 KL.
<$600B
No
$600-$700B
No
$700-$800B
No
$800-$900B
No
$900B-$1.00T
Yes
$1.00-$1.10T
No
$1.10-$1.20T
No
$1.20-$1.30T
No
$1.30T+
No
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
OpenAI’s August 2026 valuation has settled in the $900 billion to $1 trillion range according to overwhelming trader consensus, anchored by the March primary round that closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion from major backers including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank. That price was reaffirmed in mid-August through a $7 billion employee tender offer that held the mark flat rather than stepping it up, while annualized revenue run rate surpassed $40 billion on ChatGPT subscriptions and API demand. IPO preparations, including a confidential June filing and Sam Altman’s stated preference for a $1 trillion-plus debut, have reinforced expectations of further upside before any 2027 listing. Potential delays in the public offering or slower-than-projected enterprise adoption remain the main variables that could still shift the final resolved bucket.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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