OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing and ongoing preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut have left trader-implied probabilities fragmented, with <$30 billion and $100 billion+ outcomes commanding the largest shares amid wide uncertainty over final raise size. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money valuation after a $122 billion round, combined with a recent $7 billion secondary tender at that level, underscores robust private demand yet highlights its still-negative profitability and heavy infrastructure spending despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. Discussions of $60 billion-plus primary proceeds at up to $1 trillion valuation contrast with more conservative scenarios if the offering slips or market conditions tighten, while comparable AI listings and macroeconomic rate expectations remain key swing factors ahead of any public S-1 release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 30.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
30%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
20%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
4%
$100B+
31%
<$30B 30.3%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 18.9%
$100B+ 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2027
<$30B
$476 KL.
30%
$30B–$40B
$463 KL.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 KL.
20%
$50B–$60B
$825 KL.
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 KL.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 KL.
6%
$80B–$90B
$448 KL.
19%
$90B–$100B
$306 KL.
4%
$100B+
$637 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing and ongoing preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut have left trader-implied probabilities fragmented, with <$30 billion and $100 billion+ outcomes commanding the largest shares amid wide uncertainty over final raise size. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money valuation after a $122 billion round, combined with a recent $7 billion secondary tender at that level, underscores robust private demand yet highlights its still-negative profitability and heavy infrastructure spending despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. Discussions of $60 billion-plus primary proceeds at up to $1 trillion valuation contrast with more conservative scenarios if the offering slips or market conditions tighten, while comparable AI listings and macroeconomic rate expectations remain key swing factors ahead of any public S-1 release.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,761Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing and ongoing preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut have left trader-implied probabilities fragmented, with <$30 billion and $100 billion+ outcomes commanding the largest shares amid wide uncertainty over final raise size. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money valuation after a $122 billion round, combined with a recent $7 billion secondary tender at that level, underscores robust private demand yet highlights its still-negative profitability and heavy infrastructure spending despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. Discussions of $60 billion-plus primary proceeds at up to $1 trillion valuation contrast with more conservative scenarios if the offering slips or market conditions tighten, while comparable AI listings and macroeconomic rate expectations remain key swing factors ahead of any public S-1 release.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$5,761Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing and ongoing preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut have left trader-implied probabilities fragmented, with <$30 billion and $100 billion+ outcomes commanding the largest shares amid wide uncertainty over final raise size. The company’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money valuation after a $122 billion round, combined with a recent $7 billion secondary tender at that level, underscores robust private demand yet highlights its still-negative profitability and heavy infrastructure spending despite $2 billion monthly revenue run-rate. Discussions of $60 billion-plus primary proceeds at up to $1 trillion valuation contrast with more conservative scenarios if the offering slips or market conditions tighten, while comparable AI listings and macroeconomic rate expectations remain key swing factors ahead of any public S-1 release.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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