Trader sentiment heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with markets implying near-certainty of the Fed funds rate holding steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18 FOMC decision, as reinforced by the April 28-29 meeting consensus. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike from war-related oil shocks, while core inflation hit 2.6%; yet, resilient labor data showed unemployment dipping to 4.3%. FOMC minutes indicated growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, but the March dot plot still projects modest cuts to around 3.4% by year-end. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the upcoming policy announcement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$31,312 KL.
Dec 9, 2026
April Meeting
1%
June Meeting
4%
July Meeting
13%
September Meeting
15%
October Meeting
19%
$31,312 KL.
April Meeting
$24,301 KL.
1%
June Meeting
$6,580 KL.
4%
July Meeting
$372 KL.
13%
September Meeting
$3 KL.
15%
October Meeting
$55 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with markets implying near-certainty of the Fed funds rate holding steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18 FOMC decision, as reinforced by the April 28-29 meeting consensus. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike from war-related oil shocks, while core inflation hit 2.6%; yet, resilient labor data showed unemployment dipping to 4.3%. FOMC minutes indicated growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, but the March dot plot still projects modest cuts to around 3.4% by year-end. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the upcoming policy announcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$31,312Ngày kết thúc
Oct 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with markets implying near-certainty of the Fed funds rate holding steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18 FOMC decision, as reinforced by the April 28-29 meeting consensus. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike from war-related oil shocks, while core inflation hit 2.6%; yet, resilient labor data showed unemployment dipping to 4.3%. FOMC minutes indicated growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, but the March dot plot still projects modest cuts to around 3.4% by year-end. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the upcoming policy announcement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$31,312Ngày kết thúc
Oct 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment heavily favors no Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with markets implying near-certainty of the Fed funds rate holding steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18 FOMC decision, as reinforced by the April 28-29 meeting consensus. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy index spike from war-related oil shocks, while core inflation hit 2.6%; yet, resilient labor data showed unemployment dipping to 4.3%. FOMC minutes indicated growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, but the March dot plot still projects modest cuts to around 3.4% by year-end. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and the upcoming policy announcement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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