**Strong trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome for the April–July FOMC meetings reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—driven by energy price spikes, prompting the April hold and shifting dot-plot expectations toward later or fewer cuts. Minutes from that meeting showed a majority of participants open to policy firming if price pressures remain elevated, while unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains have supported the data-dependent stance. With the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings approaching and the May CPI release due June 10, any material acceleration in disinflation or sharp deterioration in labor data could still introduce volatility into near-term rate path pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 5.7%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.9%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.1%
$54,187 KL.
$54,187 KL.
Jul 29, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
6%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 5.7%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.9%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.1%
$54,187 KL.
$54,187 KL.
Jul 29, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$4,808 KL.
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$2,918 KL.
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,623 KL.
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,886 KL.
1%
Other
$1,967 KL.
6%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Strong trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome for the April–July FOMC meetings reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—driven by energy price spikes, prompting the April hold and shifting dot-plot expectations toward later or fewer cuts. Minutes from that meeting showed a majority of participants open to policy firming if price pressures remain elevated, while unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains have supported the data-dependent stance. With the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings approaching and the May CPI release due June 10, any material acceleration in disinflation or sharp deterioration in labor data could still introduce volatility into near-term rate path pricing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$54,187Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Strong trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome for the April–July FOMC meetings reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—driven by energy price spikes, prompting the April hold and shifting dot-plot expectations toward later or fewer cuts. Minutes from that meeting showed a majority of participants open to policy firming if price pressures remain elevated, while unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains have supported the data-dependent stance. With the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings approaching and the May CPI release due June 10, any material acceleration in disinflation or sharp deterioration in labor data could still introduce volatility into near-term rate path pricing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Khối lượng
$54,187Ngày kết thúc
Jul 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong trader consensus around a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome for the April–July FOMC meetings reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market that have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%.** April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023—driven by energy price spikes, prompting the April hold and shifting dot-plot expectations toward later or fewer cuts. Minutes from that meeting showed a majority of participants open to policy firming if price pressures remain elevated, while unemployment near 4.3% and steady payroll gains have supported the data-dependent stance. With the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings approaching and the May CPI release due June 10, any material acceleration in disinflation or sharp deterioration in labor data could still introduce volatility into near-term rate path pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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