Stable U.S. economic conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and no acute crisis underpin the 90% market-implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in April 2026 amid sticky core CPI near 2.6% and energy-driven headline pressures from tariffs and Middle East developments, with minutes signaling a bias toward holding or potential firming rather than easing. Traders view scheduled meetings as sufficient for any adjustments, as the labor market shows resilience and growth moderates without tipping into recession territory. The next FOMC gathering in mid-June offers the primary near-term catalyst for any policy shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105,564 KL.
$105,564 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,564 KL.
$105,564 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Stable U.S. economic conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and no acute crisis underpin the 90% market-implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in April 2026 amid sticky core CPI near 2.6% and energy-driven headline pressures from tariffs and Middle East developments, with minutes signaling a bias toward holding or potential firming rather than easing. Traders view scheduled meetings as sufficient for any adjustments, as the labor market shows resilience and growth moderates without tipping into recession territory. The next FOMC gathering in mid-June offers the primary near-term catalyst for any policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$105,564Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Stable U.S. economic conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and no acute crisis underpin the 90% market-implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in April 2026 amid sticky core CPI near 2.6% and energy-driven headline pressures from tariffs and Middle East developments, with minutes signaling a bias toward holding or potential firming rather than easing. Traders view scheduled meetings as sufficient for any adjustments, as the labor market shows resilience and growth moderates without tipping into recession territory. The next FOMC gathering in mid-June offers the primary near-term catalyst for any policy shift.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Khối lượng
$105,564Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stable U.S. economic conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and no acute crisis underpin the 90% market-implied probability against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% in April 2026 amid sticky core CPI near 2.6% and energy-driven headline pressures from tariffs and Middle East developments, with minutes signaling a bias toward holding or potential firming rather than easing. Traders view scheduled meetings as sufficient for any adjustments, as the labor market shows resilience and growth moderates without tipping into recession territory. The next FOMC gathering in mid-June offers the primary near-term catalyst for any policy shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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