The 91.5% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the resilient U.S. economy, with the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% and May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy-driven inflation pressures. Robust labor market data, including 172,000 May job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, have reinforced trader consensus for a wait-and-see policy stance through 2026, consistent with economist surveys and the Fed's recent projections favoring potential easing only in 2027. This skin-in-the-game assessment prices in limited near-term crisis risks. A sharp labor market deterioration or severe growth shock could still shift odds, though current indicators show few signs of such catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105,631 KL.
$105,631 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$105,631 KL.
$105,631 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The 91.5% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the resilient U.S. economy, with the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% and May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy-driven inflation pressures. Robust labor market data, including 172,000 May job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, have reinforced trader consensus for a wait-and-see policy stance through 2026, consistent with economist surveys and the Fed's recent projections favoring potential easing only in 2027. This skin-in-the-game assessment prices in limited near-term crisis risks. A sharp labor market deterioration or severe growth shock could still shift odds, though current indicators show few signs of such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$105,631Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The 91.5% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the resilient U.S. economy, with the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% and May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy-driven inflation pressures. Robust labor market data, including 172,000 May job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, have reinforced trader consensus for a wait-and-see policy stance through 2026, consistent with economist surveys and the Fed's recent projections favoring potential easing only in 2027. This skin-in-the-game assessment prices in limited near-term crisis risks. A sharp labor market deterioration or severe growth shock could still shift odds, though current indicators show few signs of such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Khối lượng
$105,631Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 91.5% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 stems primarily from the resilient U.S. economy, with the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% and May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy-driven inflation pressures. Robust labor market data, including 172,000 May job gains and a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, have reinforced trader consensus for a wait-and-see policy stance through 2026, consistent with economist surveys and the Fed's recent projections favoring potential easing only in 2027. This skin-in-the-game assessment prices in limited near-term crisis risks. A sharp labor market deterioration or severe growth shock could still shift odds, though current indicators show few signs of such catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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