Polymarket traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting robust U.S. economic resilience and the absence of acute financial stress warranting an inter-meeting action. Recent FOMC minutes from March 17-18, 2026, affirmed the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, with officials like Chicago Fed President Goolsbee signaling further cuts may not materialize until 2027 amid persistent inflation near 3% and a solid labor market. A Middle East ceasefire has eased oil price pressures, bolstering the soft-landing narrative and shifting Fed funds futures to price zero cuts in 2026. Realistic challenges include geopolitical flare-ups spiking energy costs, sudden unemployment surges above 4.5%, or banking sector turmoil, potentially prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$101,628 KL.
$101,628 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$101,628 KL.
$101,628 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting robust U.S. economic resilience and the absence of acute financial stress warranting an inter-meeting action. Recent FOMC minutes from March 17-18, 2026, affirmed the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, with officials like Chicago Fed President Goolsbee signaling further cuts may not materialize until 2027 amid persistent inflation near 3% and a solid labor market. A Middle East ceasefire has eased oil price pressures, bolstering the soft-landing narrative and shifting Fed funds futures to price zero cuts in 2026. Realistic challenges include geopolitical flare-ups spiking energy costs, sudden unemployment surges above 4.5%, or banking sector turmoil, potentially prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$101,628Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Polymarket traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting robust U.S. economic resilience and the absence of acute financial stress warranting an inter-meeting action. Recent FOMC minutes from March 17-18, 2026, affirmed the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, with officials like Chicago Fed President Goolsbee signaling further cuts may not materialize until 2027 amid persistent inflation near 3% and a solid labor market. A Middle East ceasefire has eased oil price pressures, bolstering the soft-landing narrative and shifting Fed funds futures to price zero cuts in 2026. Realistic challenges include geopolitical flare-ups spiking energy costs, sudden unemployment surges above 4.5%, or banking sector turmoil, potentially prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Khối lượng
$101,628Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 94.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting robust U.S. economic resilience and the absence of acute financial stress warranting an inter-meeting action. Recent FOMC minutes from March 17-18, 2026, affirmed the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75%, with officials like Chicago Fed President Goolsbee signaling further cuts may not materialize until 2027 amid persistent inflation near 3% and a solid labor market. A Middle East ceasefire has eased oil price pressures, bolstering the soft-landing narrative and shifting Fed funds futures to price zero cuts in 2026. Realistic challenges include geopolitical flare-ups spiking energy costs, sudden unemployment surges above 4.5%, or banking sector turmoil, potentially prompting an unscheduled move ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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