Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLãi suất của Fed sẽ đạt mức nào trước năm 2027?
Lãi suất của Fed sẽ đạt mức nào trước năm 2027?
$1,350,186 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 5.5%
6%
↑ 5.25%
4%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
8%
↓ 3.25%
68%
↓ 3.0%
30%
↓ 2.75%
15%
↓ 2.5%
9%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
7%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
4%
↓ 1.0%
7%
↓ 0.75%
8%
↓ 0.5%
4%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
3%
$1,350,186 KL.
↑ 5.5%
$43,964 KL.
6%
↑ 5.25%
$139,552 KL.
4%
↑ 5.0%
$11,697 KL.
4%
↑ 4.75%
$70,115 KL.
4%
↑ 4.5%
$13,865 KL.
6%
↑ 4.25%
$22,844 KL.
8%
↓ 3.25%
$56,441 KL.
68%
↓ 3.0%
$235,904 KL.
30%
↓ 2.75%
$268,128 KL.
15%
↓ 2.5%
$180,136 KL.
9%
↓ 2.25%
$23,035 KL.
8%
↓ 2.0%
$15,119 KL.
7%
↓ 1.75%
$7,427 KL.
7%
↓ 1.5%
$24,878 KL.
7%
↓ 1.25%
$938 KL.
4%
↓ 1.0%
$1,761 KL.
7%
↓ 0.75%
$388 KL.
8%
↓ 0.5%
$94,977 KL.
4%
↓ 0.25%
$119,265 KL.
5%
↓ 0%
$10,745 KL.
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Thị trường mở: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,350,186Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Khối lượng
$1,350,186Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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