Elevated inflation readings, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core prices accelerating beyond expectations amid energy supply shocks, have shifted FOMC consensus toward tighter policy ahead of the September 15-16 meeting. This backdrop, combined with a 9-3 July vote featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents, leaves trader-implied probabilities for October 27-28 dissents tightly clustered between one and three votes. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether the post-September data path—labor market stability at roughly 4.2% unemployment alongside sticky core PCE—will unify the committee around a hold or hike, or sustain the recent pattern of minority opposition from both hawkish and dovish members. Upcoming September minutes and fresh CPI releases will likely serve as key swing factors in refining these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4+ 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 28, 2026
0
15%
1
21%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
19%
3 25%
2 22%
1 21%
4+ 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 28, 2026
0
$320 KL.
15%
1
$345 KL.
21%
2
$320 KL.
22%
3
$341 KL.
25%
4+
$690 KL.
19%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core prices accelerating beyond expectations amid energy supply shocks, have shifted FOMC consensus toward tighter policy ahead of the September 15-16 meeting. This backdrop, combined with a 9-3 July vote featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents, leaves trader-implied probabilities for October 27-28 dissents tightly clustered between one and three votes. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether the post-September data path—labor market stability at roughly 4.2% unemployment alongside sticky core PCE—will unify the committee around a hold or hike, or sustain the recent pattern of minority opposition from both hawkish and dovish members. Upcoming September minutes and fresh CPI releases will likely serve as key swing factors in refining these probabilities.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,015Ngày kết thúc
Oct 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core prices accelerating beyond expectations amid energy supply shocks, have shifted FOMC consensus toward tighter policy ahead of the September 15-16 meeting. This backdrop, combined with a 9-3 July vote featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents, leaves trader-implied probabilities for October 27-28 dissents tightly clustered between one and three votes. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether the post-September data path—labor market stability at roughly 4.2% unemployment alongside sticky core PCE—will unify the committee around a hold or hike, or sustain the recent pattern of minority opposition from both hawkish and dovish members. Upcoming September minutes and fresh CPI releases will likely serve as key swing factors in refining these probabilities.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,015Ngày kết thúc
Oct 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and core prices accelerating beyond expectations amid energy supply shocks, have shifted FOMC consensus toward tighter policy ahead of the September 15-16 meeting. This backdrop, combined with a 9-3 July vote featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents, leaves trader-implied probabilities for October 27-28 dissents tightly clustered between one and three votes. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether the post-September data path—labor market stability at roughly 4.2% unemployment alongside sticky core PCE—will unify the committee around a hold or hike, or sustain the recent pattern of minority opposition from both hawkish and dovish members. Upcoming September minutes and fresh CPI releases will likely serve as key swing factors in refining these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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