Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures near 3.3%, combined with the July FOMC’s 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, anchors trader consensus around three dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that these officials and potentially others will again favor a 25-basis-point hike from the 3.50-3.75% range amid energy price risks and supply shocks, while uncertainty over additional joiners or data-driven shifts keeps two or four-plus dissents viable. Recent Jackson Hole remarks by Chair Warsh and upcoming inflation and labor releases through mid-September represent the key near-term catalysts that could alter the distribution of votes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 31%
2 20%
4+ 19%
0 15%
0
15%
1
13%
2
13%
3
31%
4+
19%
3 31%
2 20%
4+ 19%
0 15%
0
15%
1
13%
2
13%
3
31%
4+
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, with July PCE at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures near 3.3%, combined with the July FOMC’s 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, anchors trader consensus around three dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Market-implied odds reflect expectations that these officials and potentially others will again favor a 25-basis-point hike from the 3.50-3.75% range amid energy price risks and supply shocks, while uncertainty over additional joiners or data-driven shifts keeps two or four-plus dissents viable. Recent Jackson Hole remarks by Chair Warsh and upcoming inflation and labor releases through mid-September represent the key near-term catalysts that could alter the distribution of votes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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