Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.67-4.73% amid sticky inflation readings, including firmer-than-expected core PCE, and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole emphasizing price stability over easing. Elevated fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy net coupon supply, and corporate issuance tied to AI capital spending have lifted real yields and term premium, while Treasury buybacks provide limited counter-support at the long end. Traders are watching upcoming August CPI, employment data, and the September FOMC meeting for signs of whether policy expectations shift toward hikes or a prolonged pause, with the yield curve reflecting higher neutral-rate estimates. These forces collectively sustain upward pressure on long-term borrowing costs through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$289,613 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
4.8%
68%
5.0%
18%
5.2%
8%
5.5%
6%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
4%
$289,613 KL.
4.8%
$60,422 KL.
68%
5.0%
$82,723 KL.
18%
5.2%
$26,427 KL.
8%
5.5%
$5,918 KL.
6%
5.7%
$4,298 KL.
5%
6.0%
$3,539 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.67-4.73% amid sticky inflation readings, including firmer-than-expected core PCE, and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole emphasizing price stability over easing. Elevated fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy net coupon supply, and corporate issuance tied to AI capital spending have lifted real yields and term premium, while Treasury buybacks provide limited counter-support at the long end. Traders are watching upcoming August CPI, employment data, and the September FOMC meeting for signs of whether policy expectations shift toward hikes or a prolonged pause, with the yield curve reflecting higher neutral-rate estimates. These forces collectively sustain upward pressure on long-term borrowing costs through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$289,613Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.67-4.73% amid sticky inflation readings, including firmer-than-expected core PCE, and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole emphasizing price stability over easing. Elevated fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy net coupon supply, and corporate issuance tied to AI capital spending have lifted real yields and term premium, while Treasury buybacks provide limited counter-support at the long end. Traders are watching upcoming August CPI, employment data, and the September FOMC meeting for signs of whether policy expectations shift toward hikes or a prolonged pause, with the yield curve reflecting higher neutral-rate estimates. These forces collectively sustain upward pressure on long-term borrowing costs through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$289,613Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Treasury market dynamics center on the 10-year yield trading near 4.67-4.73% amid sticky inflation readings, including firmer-than-expected core PCE, and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole emphasizing price stability over easing. Elevated fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy net coupon supply, and corporate issuance tied to AI capital spending have lifted real yields and term premium, while Treasury buybacks provide limited counter-support at the long end. Traders are watching upcoming August CPI, employment data, and the September FOMC meeting for signs of whether policy expectations shift toward hikes or a prolonged pause, with the yield curve reflecting higher neutral-rate estimates. These forces collectively sustain upward pressure on long-term borrowing costs through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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