Trader sentiment on the minimum 10-year Treasury yield before 2027 reflects caution amid sticky inflation and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance, with the benchmark yield holding near 4.26% as of April 17 after easing slightly from 4.32%. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump, dampening rate-cut expectations and pushing yields higher from late-March lows around 4.25%. The Fed funds rate remains at 3.5%-3.75%, unchanged after the March meeting, with markets pricing limited easing. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could signal disinflation and yield downside potential.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$213,134 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
73%
3.8%
51%
3.7%
35%
3.6%
42%
3.5%
23%
3.0%
21%
2.0%
12%
1.0%
4%
$213,134 KL.
3.9%
$40,064 KL.
73%
3.8%
$39,095 KL.
51%
3.7%
$26,270 KL.
35%
3.6%
$4,723 KL.
42%
3.5%
$31,386 KL.
23%
3.0%
$277 KL.
21%
2.0%
$326 KL.
12%
1.0%
$39,233 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Trader sentiment on the minimum 10-year Treasury yield before 2027 reflects caution amid sticky inflation and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance, with the benchmark yield holding near 4.26% as of April 17 after easing slightly from 4.32%. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump, dampening rate-cut expectations and pushing yields higher from late-March lows around 4.25%. The Fed funds rate remains at 3.5%-3.75%, unchanged after the March meeting, with markets pricing limited easing. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could signal disinflation and yield downside potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$213,134Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Trader sentiment on the minimum 10-year Treasury yield before 2027 reflects caution amid sticky inflation and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance, with the benchmark yield holding near 4.26% as of April 17 after easing slightly from 4.32%. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump, dampening rate-cut expectations and pushing yields higher from late-March lows around 4.25%. The Fed funds rate remains at 3.5%-3.75%, unchanged after the March meeting, with markets pricing limited easing. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could signal disinflation and yield downside potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$213,134Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on the minimum 10-year Treasury yield before 2027 reflects caution amid sticky inflation and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance, with the benchmark yield holding near 4.26% as of April 17 after easing slightly from 4.32%. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump, dampening rate-cut expectations and pushing yields higher from late-March lows around 4.25%. The Fed funds rate remains at 3.5%-3.75%, unchanged after the March meeting, with markets pricing limited easing. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and May 12 April CPI release, where softer data could signal disinflation and yield downside potential.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp