SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its public S-1 on May 20, 2026, accelerated the IPO timeline, with the roadshow underway since early June and pricing targeted for June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12. This compressed schedule, targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for June. The strong trader consensus reflects verified regulatory milestones and banker commitments rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen SEC hold or severe market dislocation in the final days, though both appear low-probability given the advanced stage and proximity to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 99.1%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$478,572 KL.
$478,572 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
June
99%
July
<1%
August
<1%
September
<1%
October
<1%
November
<1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
<1%
June 99.1%
July <1%
No IPO before 2027 <1%
August <1%
$478,572 KL.
$478,572 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
June
$150,107 KL.
99%
July
$27,926 KL.
<1%
August
$18,369 KL.
<1%
September
$19,268 KL.
<1%
October
$17,283 KL.
<1%
November
$16,223 KL.
<1%
December
$10,589 KL.
<1%
No IPO before 2027
$27,067 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its public S-1 on May 20, 2026, accelerated the IPO timeline, with the roadshow underway since early June and pricing targeted for June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12. This compressed schedule, targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for June. The strong trader consensus reflects verified regulatory milestones and banker commitments rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen SEC hold or severe market dislocation in the final days, though both appear low-probability given the advanced stage and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$478,572Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its public S-1 on May 20, 2026, accelerated the IPO timeline, with the roadshow underway since early June and pricing targeted for June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12. This compressed schedule, targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for June. The strong trader consensus reflects verified regulatory milestones and banker commitments rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen SEC hold or severe market dislocation in the final days, though both appear low-probability given the advanced stage and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Khối lượng
$478,572Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its public S-1 on May 20, 2026, accelerated the IPO timeline, with the roadshow underway since early June and pricing targeted for June 11 ahead of a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12. This compressed schedule, targeting a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for June. The strong trader consensus reflects verified regulatory milestones and banker commitments rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen SEC hold or severe market dislocation in the final days, though both appear low-probability given the advanced stage and proximity to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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