SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and subsequent scheduling of an early June roadshow—targeting pricing the week of June 15—have driven trader consensus to price a 69.5% implied probability for a June initial public offering, reflecting standard 8-10 week timelines from filing to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and up to $75 billion raise. Recent site visits for anchor investors and CFO comments on unprecedented retail allocation further bolster momentum, positioning July at 16.7% as a delay contingency amid SEC review uncertainties. No IPO before 2027 odds at 5.9% underscore low perceived regulatory or execution risks, with public prospectus expected late May as the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 70%
July 16.8%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,674 KL.
$252,674 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
April
<1%
May
1%
June
70%
July
17%
August
5%
September
3%
October
1%
November
<1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
June 70%
July 16.8%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,674 KL.
$252,674 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
April
$33,517 KL.
<1%
May
$22,011 KL.
1%
June
$100,246 KL.
70%
July
$10,159 KL.
17%
August
$4,267 KL.
5%
September
$5,770 KL.
3%
October
$6,847 KL.
1%
November
$4,417 KL.
<1%
December
$3,955 KL.
1%
No IPO before 2027
$8,405 KL.
6%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and subsequent scheduling of an early June roadshow—targeting pricing the week of June 15—have driven trader consensus to price a 69.5% implied probability for a June initial public offering, reflecting standard 8-10 week timelines from filing to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and up to $75 billion raise. Recent site visits for anchor investors and CFO comments on unprecedented retail allocation further bolster momentum, positioning July at 16.7% as a delay contingency amid SEC review uncertainties. No IPO before 2027 odds at 5.9% underscore low perceived regulatory or execution risks, with public prospectus expected late May as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Thị trường mở: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$252,674Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and subsequent scheduling of an early June roadshow—targeting pricing the week of June 15—have driven trader consensus to price a 69.5% implied probability for a June initial public offering, reflecting standard 8-10 week timelines from filing to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and up to $75 billion raise. Recent site visits for anchor investors and CFO comments on unprecedented retail allocation further bolster momentum, positioning July at 16.7% as a delay contingency amid SEC review uncertainties. No IPO before 2027 odds at 5.9% underscore low perceived regulatory or execution risks, with public prospectus expected late May as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Khối lượng
$252,674Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and subsequent scheduling of an early June roadshow—targeting pricing the week of June 15—have driven trader consensus to price a 69.5% implied probability for a June initial public offering, reflecting standard 8-10 week timelines from filing to listing at a targeted $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and up to $75 billion raise. Recent site visits for anchor investors and CFO comments on unprecedented retail allocation further bolster momentum, positioning July at 16.7% as a delay contingency amid SEC review uncertainties. No IPO before 2027 odds at 5.9% underscore low perceived regulatory or execution risks, with public prospectus expected late May as the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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