Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled momentum since the company's January confidential S-1 filing aimed at a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Absence of public prospectus, roadshow announcements, or updated financials—amid $700 million annual revenue and 200 million monthly active users—has tempered expectations, despite a reopened IPO window following S&P 500 all-time highs on April 17 after equity market recovery. Secondary market valuations holding near $15 billion concentrate residual odds in sub-$20 billion market cap bins at 13.6% combined, with SpaceX's impending June listing posing pipeline competition as the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 83%
<15 tỷ 8.3%
15–20 tỷ 5.1%
25–30 tỷ 1.3%
$871,114 KL.
$871,114 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<15 tỷ
8%
15–20 tỷ
5%
20–25 tỷ
1%
25–30 tỷ
1%
30 tỷ+
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
83%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 83%
<15 tỷ 8.3%
15–20 tỷ 5.1%
25–30 tỷ 1.3%
$871,114 KL.
$871,114 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<15 tỷ
$296,520 KL.
8%
15–20 tỷ
$107,587 KL.
5%
20–25 tỷ
$73,620 KL.
1%
25–30 tỷ
$105,568 KL.
1%
30 tỷ+
$98,233 KL.
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
$189,586 KL.
83%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled momentum since the company's January confidential S-1 filing aimed at a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Absence of public prospectus, roadshow announcements, or updated financials—amid $700 million annual revenue and 200 million monthly active users—has tempered expectations, despite a reopened IPO window following S&P 500 all-time highs on April 17 after equity market recovery. Secondary market valuations holding near $15 billion concentrate residual odds in sub-$20 billion market cap bins at 13.6% combined, with SpaceX's impending June listing posing pipeline competition as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$871,114Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled momentum since the company's January confidential S-1 filing aimed at a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Absence of public prospectus, roadshow announcements, or updated financials—amid $700 million annual revenue and 200 million monthly active users—has tempered expectations, despite a reopened IPO window following S&P 500 all-time highs on April 17 after equity market recovery. Secondary market valuations holding near $15 billion concentrate residual odds in sub-$20 billion market cap bins at 13.6% combined, with SpaceX's impending June listing posing pipeline competition as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$871,114Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 82.5% implied probability of no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by stalled momentum since the company's January confidential S-1 filing aimed at a Q1 debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. Absence of public prospectus, roadshow announcements, or updated financials—amid $700 million annual revenue and 200 million monthly active users—has tempered expectations, despite a reopened IPO window following S&P 500 all-time highs on April 17 after equity market recovery. Secondary market valuations holding near $15 billion concentrate residual odds in sub-$20 billion market cap bins at 13.6% combined, with SpaceX's impending June listing posing pipeline competition as the key near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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