Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (95.8% implied probability), driven by the AI firm's February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which bolsters its cash runway and eliminates near-term public market pressure. Reports from late March indicate preliminary banker discussions for a potential Q4 2026 debut targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, well beyond the resolution date, with no S-1 filing or accelerated timeline announced since. Recent rejection of $800 billion private offers underscores control over listing terms amid Claude model's enterprise dominance. Realistic challenges include competitive pressure from OpenAI's rumored path or favorable IPO windows prompting an earlier filing, though regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 95.8%
400–600 tỷ 2.5%
600 tỷ+ <1%
300–400 tỷ <1%
$1,011,842 KL.
$1,011,842 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Dưới 100 tỷ
<1%
100–200 tỷ
<1%
200–300 tỷ
<1%
300–400 tỷ
<1%
400–600 tỷ
3%
600 tỷ+
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
96%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 95.8%
400–600 tỷ 2.5%
600 tỷ+ <1%
300–400 tỷ <1%
$1,011,842 KL.
$1,011,842 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Dưới 100 tỷ
$209,035 KL.
<1%
100–200 tỷ
$70,073 KL.
<1%
200–300 tỷ
$125,415 KL.
<1%
300–400 tỷ
$74,001 KL.
<1%
400–600 tỷ
$117,936 KL.
3%
600 tỷ+
$240,180 KL.
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
$175,202 KL.
96%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (95.8% implied probability), driven by the AI firm's February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which bolsters its cash runway and eliminates near-term public market pressure. Reports from late March indicate preliminary banker discussions for a potential Q4 2026 debut targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, well beyond the resolution date, with no S-1 filing or accelerated timeline announced since. Recent rejection of $800 billion private offers underscores control over listing terms amid Claude model's enterprise dominance. Realistic challenges include competitive pressure from OpenAI's rumored path or favorable IPO windows prompting an earlier filing, though regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds hurdles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,011,842Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (95.8% implied probability), driven by the AI firm's February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which bolsters its cash runway and eliminates near-term public market pressure. Reports from late March indicate preliminary banker discussions for a potential Q4 2026 debut targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, well beyond the resolution date, with no S-1 filing or accelerated timeline announced since. Recent rejection of $800 billion private offers underscores control over listing terms amid Claude model's enterprise dominance. Realistic challenges include competitive pressure from OpenAI's rumored path or favorable IPO windows prompting an earlier filing, though regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds hurdles.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$1,011,842Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (95.8% implied probability), driven by the AI firm's February 2026 $30 billion Series G funding round at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which bolsters its cash runway and eliminates near-term public market pressure. Reports from late March indicate preliminary banker discussions for a potential Q4 2026 debut targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, well beyond the resolution date, with no S-1 filing or accelerated timeline announced since. Recent rejection of $800 billion private offers underscores control over listing terms amid Claude model's enterprise dominance. Realistic challenges include competitive pressure from OpenAI's rumored path or favorable IPO windows prompting an earlier filing, though regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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