SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T range at 38% implied probability, reflecting aggregated bets on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue—projected over $15 billion in 2025—and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions. A December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion set a strong baseline, amplified by Falcon 9's launch dominance and global direct-to-cell spectrum deals expanding addressable markets. Lower odds on higher brackets stem from execution risks like regulatory FAA approvals, while a mere 2.8% on no IPO before 2028 underscores filing momentum. Traders eye upcoming S-1 disclosures and potential June roadshow for pricing catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của SpaceX
Vốn hóa thị trường đóng cửa IPO của SpaceX
$1,834,682 KL.
$1,834,682 KL.
<1,0T
5%
1,0T-1,5T
6%
1,5T-2,0T
38%
2,0T-2,5T
23%
2,5T-3,0T
11%
3,0T-3,5T
12%
3,5T+
2%
Không IPO trước năm 2028
3%
$1,834,682 KL.
$1,834,682 KL.
<1,0T
$64,210 KL.
5%
1,0T-1,5T
$39,611 KL.
6%
1,5T-2,0T
$54,163 KL.
38%
2,0T-2,5T
$63,693 KL.
23%
2,5T-3,0T
$809,010 KL.
11%
3,0T-3,5T
$475,116 KL.
12%
3,5T+
$58,948 KL.
2%
Không IPO trước năm 2028
$269,930 KL.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T range at 38% implied probability, reflecting aggregated bets on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue—projected over $15 billion in 2025—and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions. A December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion set a strong baseline, amplified by Falcon 9's launch dominance and global direct-to-cell spectrum deals expanding addressable markets. Lower odds on higher brackets stem from execution risks like regulatory FAA approvals, while a mere 2.8% on no IPO before 2028 underscores filing momentum. Traders eye upcoming S-1 disclosures and potential June roadshow for pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,834,682Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T range at 38% implied probability, reflecting aggregated bets on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue—projected over $15 billion in 2025—and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions. A December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion set a strong baseline, amplified by Falcon 9's launch dominance and global direct-to-cell spectrum deals expanding addressable markets. Lower odds on higher brackets stem from execution risks like regulatory FAA approvals, while a mere 2.8% on no IPO before 2028 underscores filing momentum. Traders eye upcoming S-1 disclosures and potential June roadshow for pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$1,834,682Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T range at 38% implied probability, reflecting aggregated bets on Starlink's surging satellite broadband revenue—projected over $15 billion in 2025—and Starship's reusable launch vehicle milestones enabling orbital refueling and Mars ambitions. A December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion set a strong baseline, amplified by Falcon 9's launch dominance and global direct-to-cell spectrum deals expanding addressable markets. Lower odds on higher brackets stem from execution risks like regulatory FAA approvals, while a mere 2.8% on no IPO before 2028 underscores filing momentum. Traders eye upcoming S-1 disclosures and potential June roadshow for pricing catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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