Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 60.2% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by last week's news that Tuttle Capital Management relinquished the Nasdaq-listed SPCX ticker—previously held by its SPAC fund—sparking widespread speculation it could be reserved for Elon Musk's aerospace giant ahead of its anticipated mid-2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. $X holds steady at 31.5% due to Musk's affinity for the branding across his ventures like X Corp, though odds have slid from earlier peaks amid the SPCX buzz. Lower-probability options like $SPAX reflect niche bets on space-themed symbols, but no official filing discloses the choice; traders eye June roadshow updates amid regulatory filings and Starship milestones as key catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhác (bao gồm $SPCX) 60.2%
$X 32%
$SPAX 3.5%
$SEX 1.3%
$5,052,871 KL.
$5,052,871 KL.
Khác (bao gồm $SPCX)
60%
$X
32%
$SPAX
4%
$SEX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$MARS
<1%
Khác (bao gồm $SPCX) 60.2%
$X 32%
$SPAX 3.5%
$SEX 1.3%
$5,052,871 KL.
$5,052,871 KL.
Khác (bao gồm $SPCX)
60%
$X
32%
$SPAX
4%
$SEX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$MARS
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 60.2% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by last week's news that Tuttle Capital Management relinquished the Nasdaq-listed SPCX ticker—previously held by its SPAC fund—sparking widespread speculation it could be reserved for Elon Musk's aerospace giant ahead of its anticipated mid-2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. $X holds steady at 31.5% due to Musk's affinity for the branding across his ventures like X Corp, though odds have slid from earlier peaks amid the SPCX buzz. Lower-probability options like $SPAX reflect niche bets on space-themed symbols, but no official filing discloses the choice; traders eye June roadshow updates amid regulatory filings and Starship milestones as key catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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