Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Thời gian ngồi tù của Harvey Weinstein?
Không bị tù 81.7%
20-30 năm 7.2%
10-20 năm 4.3%
Hơn 30 năm 3.6%
$1,065,132 KL.
$1,065,132 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
82%
Dưới 5 năm
3%
5-10 years
2%
10-20 năm
4%
20-30 năm
7%
Hơn 30 năm
4%
Không bị tù 81.7%
20-30 năm 7.2%
10-20 năm 4.3%
Hơn 30 năm 3.6%
$1,065,132 KL.
$1,065,132 KL.
Dec 31, 2025
Không bị tù
$372,992 KL.
82%
Dưới 5 năm
$139,342 KL.
3%
5-10 years
$88,620 KL.
2%
10-20 năm
$168,180 KL.
4%
20-30 năm
$211,381 KL.
7%
Hơn 30 năm
$84,617 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,065,132Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,065,132Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2025Thị trường mở
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, including the May 2026 jury deadlock on the Jessica Mann charge, have driven trader consensus toward the No Prison Time outcome at 81.3%. The 2024 overturn of his original New York conviction and the mixed 2025 retrial verdict limited additional exposure, while ongoing appeals of the consecutive 16-year California sentence face skeptical appellate review. Weinstein’s documented health challenges and time already served at Rikers Island further reinforce the view that further lengthy incarceration remains unlikely absent successful new prosecutions. Upcoming rulings on whether prosecutors pursue another retrial or the status of California appeals represent key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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