Trader consensus on "No" at 98% implied probability for Jesus Christ's return before 2027 stems from the long pattern of unfulfilled eschatological claims across religious history and the complete lack of verifiable signs or official doctrinal shifts in recent years. Major denominations continue standard teachings without signaling imminent fulfillment, while public discourse and cultural narratives show no acceleration in apocalyptic sentiment. This skin-in-the-game assessment rewards historical precedent over speculation. An upset would require extraordinary, universally recognized events in the next year that contradict established timelines, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given the stable religious and media landscape.