Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,892 KL.
$53,892 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$53,892 KL.
$53,892 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current weather observations and forecast models from agencies like the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute show Amsterdam reaching a daily maximum of 18°C on June 15, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant warming aloft. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover near 19°C, and recent model runs confirm stable marine-influenced conditions preventing excursions above or below this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 18°C reflects real-time data integration, including surface station readings and ensemble forecasts with narrow uncertainty ranges. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day radiative heating or measurement revisions exceeding typical instrumental error margins of ±0.5°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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