A broad European heatwave driven by a strong subtropical ridge and advection of Saharan air is pushing Amsterdam temperatures well above the June average of roughly 20°C. Latest model guidance, including ECMWF and GFS runs, shows 850 hPa temperatures supporting surface maxima near 31–33°C on June 25 under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, with BBC forecasts specifically indicating a 32°C high. Minor differences in the exact timing of peak heating, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or slight wind shifts explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–34°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the single-degree outcome ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 25?
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$114,266 KL.
$114,266 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$114,266 KL.
$114,266 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 23, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
A broad European heatwave driven by a strong subtropical ridge and advection of Saharan air is pushing Amsterdam temperatures well above the June average of roughly 20°C. Latest model guidance, including ECMWF and GFS runs, shows 850 hPa temperatures supporting surface maxima near 31–33°C on June 25 under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, with BBC forecasts specifically indicating a 32°C high. Minor differences in the exact timing of peak heating, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover or slight wind shifts explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–34°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine the single-degree outcome ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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