Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 7?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,245 KL.
$60,245 KL.
May 7, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$60,245 KL.
$60,245 KL.
May 7, 2026
9°C or below
$1,318 KL.
No
10°C
$565 KL.
No
11°C
$957 KL.
No
12°C
$3,141 KL.
No
13°C
$3,664 KL.
No
14°C
$3,775 KL.
No
15°C
$5,346 KL.
No
16°C
$8,910 KL.
No
17°C
$15,500 KL.
Yes
18°C
$8,329 KL.
No
19°C or higher
$8,739 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60,245Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$60,245Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to 17°C as Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by real-time observations from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol—the market's official resolution station—which recorded a daily maximum of 17.8°C under partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping daytime heating. This aligns with the latest ECMWF and national HARMONIE model runs over the past 24 hours, showing convergent forecasts of 16–17°C highs amid a cool upper-air pattern lacking ridging. Historical early-May averages near 15–16°C provide further context, with no anomalous warming signals. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven spikes to 18°C, though diminishing daylight and persistent cloud cover make this improbable; watch KNMI's final daily bulletin for confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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