Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 28?
20°C 100.0%
16°C 99.9%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 KL.
$59,920 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C 99.9%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$59,920 KL.
$59,920 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
13°C or below
$2,537 KL.
No
14°C
$1,604 KL.
No
15°C
$1,705 KL.
No
16°C
$2,797 KL.
No
17°C
$5,966 KL.
No
18°C
$8,314 KL.
No
19°C
$5,744 KL.
No
20°C
$11,136 KL.
Yes
21°C
$7,660 KL.
No
22°C
$5,861 KL.
No
23°C or higher
$6,596 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,920Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$59,920Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:10 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 28 reached exactly 20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns closely with MGM's pre-event forecast of near 19°C and late-April climatological norms, where daily highs average 18°C but exhibit 2-3°C variability due to frontal passages and diurnal heating. The market's positioning reflects the reliability of station-specific measurements, with skin-in-the-game traders aggregating real-time data releases. Realistic challenges are negligible; only a rare post hoc revision by MGM—typically for sensor errors—could alter resolution, as final quality-controlled data is authoritative.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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