Recent National Weather Service and European model consensus for Ankara points to a high near 28–29°C on August 14, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating while suppressing any significant moisture or instability. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs hover around 30°C but can dip several degrees under stable anticyclonic regimes. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal day-to-day variability in guidance, reinforcing trader weighting toward the 28°C and 29°C bins at combined 74.5% implied probability. Any late-model shift toward stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher, while continued stability would favor the current lower end of the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 14?
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 16%
30°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 16%
30°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$105 KL.
<1%
24°C
$23 KL.
<1%
25°C
$8 KL.
3%
26°C
$28 KL.
4%
27°C
$43 KL.
16%
28°C
$83 KL.
49%
29°C
$92 KL.
26%
30°C
$40 KL.
5%
31°C
$310 KL.
3%
32°C
$22 KL.
1%
33°C or higher
$243 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model consensus for Ankara points to a high near 28–29°C on August 14, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating while suppressing any significant moisture or instability. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs hover around 30°C but can dip several degrees under stable anticyclonic regimes. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal day-to-day variability in guidance, reinforcing trader weighting toward the 28°C and 29°C bins at combined 74.5% implied probability. Any late-model shift toward stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher, while continued stability would favor the current lower end of the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$997Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model consensus for Ankara points to a high near 28–29°C on August 14, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating while suppressing any significant moisture or instability. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs hover around 30°C but can dip several degrees under stable anticyclonic regimes. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal day-to-day variability in guidance, reinforcing trader weighting toward the 28°C and 29°C bins at combined 74.5% implied probability. Any late-model shift toward stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher, while continued stability would favor the current lower end of the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$997Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and European model consensus for Ankara points to a high near 28–29°C on August 14, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating while suppressing any significant moisture or instability. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs hover around 30°C but can dip several degrees under stable anticyclonic regimes. Updated runs from the past 48 hours show minimal day-to-day variability in guidance, reinforcing trader weighting toward the 28°C and 29°C bins at combined 74.5% implied probability. Any late-model shift toward stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings higher, while continued stability would favor the current lower end of the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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