Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on April 28?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 28?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$173,718 KL.
$173,718 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$173,718 KL.
$173,718 KL.
Apr 28, 2026
16°C or below
$2,904 KL.
No
17°C
$1,665 KL.
No
18°C
$4,073 KL.
No
19°C
$9,898 KL.
No
20°C
$63,903 KL.
No
21°C
$19,838 KL.
Yes
22°C
$16,732 KL.
No
23°C
$12,436 KL.
No
24°C
$17,821 KL.
No
25°C
$15,322 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$9,126 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$173,718Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$173,718Ngày kết thúc
Apr 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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