Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 KL.
$78,475 KL.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,475 KL.
$78,475 KL.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 2, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns precisely with SMN's pre-event forecast of highs between 10°C and 16°C under mostly sunny skies and a cool air mass from southerly winds, validated by hourly automated readings at key stations like Aeroparque Jorge Newbery. Below May's climatological average of 18–19°C, the cool conditions reflect seasonal autumn cooling without significant cloud cover or fronts to boost temps. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality controls or higher validated readings at peripheral stations like Ezeiza, though SMN preliminary bulletins seldom change materially; final daily summary expected soon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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