Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 20?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,074 KL.
$73,074 KL.
Apr 20, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,074 KL.
$73,074 KL.
Apr 20, 2026
15°C or below
$3,320 KL.
No
16°C
$5,568 KL.
No
17°C
$2,194 KL.
No
18°C
$1,628 KL.
No
19°C
$4,459 KL.
No
20°C
$4,939 KL.
No
21°C
$5,278 KL.
No
22°C
$17,992 KL.
Yes
23°C
$5,691 KL.
No
24°C
$9,911 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$12,094 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$73,074Ngày kết thúc
Apr 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$73,074Ngày kết thúc
Apr 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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