Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 15?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 KL.
$48,512 KL.
Apr 15, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,512 KL.
$48,512 KL.
Apr 15, 2026
15°C or below
$1,054 KL.
No
16°C
$2,147 KL.
No
17°C
$15,710 KL.
No
18°C
$7,141 KL.
No
19°C
$4,147 KL.
No
20°C
$3,729 KL.
No
21°C
$3,635 KL.
Yes
22°C
$5,893 KL.
No
23°C
$2,568 KL.
No
24°C
$895 KL.
No
25°C or higher
$1,593 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,512Ngày kết thúc
Apr 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$48,512Ngày kết thúc
Apr 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 13, 2026, 12:47 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) at Cape Town International Airport (FACT) confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy conditions and isolated showers ahead of an intensifying cold front suppressed daytime heating, aligning with SAWS pre-event forecasts of maximums between 20-21°C—below the April climatological average of around 23°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly METAR data, with minimal wind and overcast skies limiting solar insolation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from SAWS audits, though such adjustments are exceptional for established records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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