Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24 clustering around 16–18 °C because mid-winter synoptic conditions favor modest daytime maxima near the long-term June average of 17 °C. Global models indicate a weak high-pressure ridge ahead of the next cold front, allowing limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies while the Benguela Current and onshore flow suppress stronger warming. Small differences in front timing, wind shift from northwest to southeast, and low-level moisture determine whether the daily peak reaches 18 °C or stays at 16 °C, creating the tight spread across outcomes. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 24?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,693 KL.
$33,693 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,693 KL.
$33,693 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 22, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 24 clustering around 16–18 °C because mid-winter synoptic conditions favor modest daytime maxima near the long-term June average of 17 °C. Global models indicate a weak high-pressure ridge ahead of the next cold front, allowing limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies while the Benguela Current and onshore flow suppress stronger warming. Small differences in front timing, wind shift from northwest to southeast, and low-level moisture determine whether the daily peak reaches 18 °C or stays at 16 °C, creating the tight spread across outcomes. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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