Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 28?
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$66,452 KL.
$66,452 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$66,452 KL.
$66,452 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 19°C (nearly 100% implied probability) as Chengdu's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, at Shuangliu International Airport, backed by real-time observations and forecast model ensembles from sources like Weather Underground. Persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and a passing frontal system have capped surface heating, with morning readings around 15–16°C and limited solar insolation preventing warmer peaks— a sharp contrast to yesterday's 23°C high amid typical Sichuan Basin spring variability. Hourly forecasts confirm daytime highs near 19.4°C (67°F), with clouds suppressing convection. Realistic challenges include unexpected early clearing allowing brief warming to 20°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; final airport data finalization expected post-midnight UTC+8.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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