Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 17?
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 KL.
$67,572 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,572 KL.
$67,572 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 15, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on June 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. Official guidance shows daytime highs stabilizing near this level amid northeasterly flow and high humidity that suppresses further warming, aligning with mid-June climatology where basin topography often moderates peaks under similar synoptic patterns. This strong model consensus supports the market's 100% implied probability for the 25°C threshold. A rapid clearing of skies before peak heating hours could allow modest additional warming, though afternoon timing and moisture advection make significant upward revisions unlikely before final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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