Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 26?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 KL.
$78,542 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$78,542 KL.
$78,542 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC place Chengdu's June 26 high near 29–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities around 28–30°C. Traders price the spread due to typical early-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers moderate daytime heating while steering patterns and any strengthening monsoon flow could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 30°C provide context, but model consensus on exact insolation and precipitation timing keeps outcomes closely matched rather than favoring extremes. Updated NWP runs and local observations will likely refine odds before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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