Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 7?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 KL.
$119,725 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,725 KL.
$119,725 KL.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 29°C in Chengdu on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirming the daily maximum reached exactly 29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions that limited solar heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF had projected peaks near 30°C, aligning with May climatological averages of 26–32°C, but persistent cloud cover and northerly winds capped actual readings, with past-24-hour highs at 27.9°C before stabilizing. As the day concludes past midnight on May 8 with temperatures dropping to 24°C, final station data is unlikely to revise upward absent measurement anomalies, solidifying market resolution to 29°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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