Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 9?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 KL.
$85,935 KL.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$85,935 KL.
$85,935 KL.
May 9, 2026
21°C or below
$1,631 KL.
No
22°C
$1,176 KL.
No
23°C
$3,076 KL.
No
24°C
$4,886 KL.
No
25°C
$4,221 KL.
No
26°C
$8,398 KL.
No
27°C
$7,745 KL.
No
28°C
$22,723 KL.
No
29°C
$12,777 KL.
Yes
30°C
$11,974 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$7,328 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$85,935Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$85,935Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature in Chengdu on May 9, 2026—at 100% implied probability—driven by real-time observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station, the market's official resolution source via Weather Underground records. Midday METAR reports confirmed peaks of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and post-rain recovery from May 8, with solar heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin aligning precisely with this outcome amid stable high-pressure conditions. Local forecasts from China Meteorological Administration models projected upper-20s Celsius highs consistent with early May climatology (typical range 26–31°C). Scenarios challenging this would require an anomalous late-afternoon surge from unforecast clearing or a rare data revision upward, both improbable as evening cooling sets in and peak heating has passed. Final daily maximum data expected shortly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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